
Mimime
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 45
Southwell · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 4f 214y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Catterick | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Nottingham | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-05-25 | Leicester | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 18/06/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |