Zonnebloem

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 52

Southwell · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 4f 214y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 5

Recent avg: C5.3

Today: 6

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-31	Southwell	6	5th	5th	0	5.0
2025-10-20	Wolverhampton	5	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2025-09-27	Southwell	5	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2025-06-18	Ripon	5	4th	3rd	+1	7.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +30.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
18/06/2025	4th	7/1	63%	25%	-0.38
27/09/2025	6th	200/1	0%	50%	+0.50
20/10/2025	3rd	150/1	0%	50%	+0.50
31/08/2026	5th	33/1	0%	64%	+0.64