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7

Cavalry Call

5yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 50

Southwell · Download The At The Races App Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 3f 23y

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful at best, but didn't offer much promise for R. Mike Smith (including over hurdles) and has failed to beat a rival in 4 starts for current yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ayr 18/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m Goo 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/09/2025 · OR 75 par18/095OR 754 @ Ayr 30/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m2f Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Newcastle 27/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m2f42y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/11/2025 · OR 70 par27/114OR 705 @ Newcastle 20/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 68 · 1m2f42y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/01/2026 · OR 68 par4 @ Kelso 02/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m51y GS 157 · HIGHER CLASS2/0446 @ Doncaster 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m3f197y Goo 140 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 62 · 1m2f42y Sta 132 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 62 par25/076OR 626 @ Southwell 06/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 58 · 1m3f24y Std 128 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 58 par5 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 55 · 1m3f140y Sft 141 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 55 par3/095OR 55projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Haydock511th10th+1
2026-08-06Southwell611th11th0
2026-07-25Newcastle613th13th0
2026-05-16Doncaster67th7th0
2026-04-02Kelso49th7th+2
2026-03-06Ayr4+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0920/0125/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20257th12/137%33%-0.04
30/09/20257th50/10%0%0.00
27/11/20257th125/10%33%+0.33
20/01/20268th16/116%30%+0.14
02/04/20269th300/10%11%+0.11
16/05/20267th18/15%0%-0.05
25/07/202613th66/10%0%0.00
06/08/202611th100/10%0%0.00
03/09/202611th150/10%0%0.00