
Golspie
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 60
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 3f 23y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 77% | +0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 58% | -0.07 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |