IvyArcIvyArc
1

Palazzo Persico

5yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 60

Southwell · Download The At The Races App Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 3f 23y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has an in-and-out profile for current yard, scoring twice before lesser runs more recently. Likely unsuited by shorter trip when third at Salisbury latest but others are more convincing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA59 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 59 · 1m2f150y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 59 par20/0359OR 59BHA55 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 55 · 1m2f150y Std 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 55 parBHA55 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 55 · 1m Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/04/2026 · OR 55 par1/0455OR 55BHA53 @ Dundalk 10/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 53 · 1m4f Std 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Chepstow 15/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 52 · 1m2f Goo 149 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 52 par15/066OR 525 @ Brighton 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 52 · 7f216y Goo 143 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 52 par5 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 59 · 1m4f13y GF 148 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 59 par15/075OR 595 @ Nottingham 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 61 · 1m2f50y Goo 150 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Salisbury 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 61 · 1m Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 61 par21/085OR 61projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Salisbury53rd2nd+1
2026-07-30Nottingham55th4th+1
2026-07-15Catterick51st0th+1
2026-06-21Brighton55th4th+1
2026-06-15Chepstow61st1st0
2026-04-10DundalkBHA5312th11th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0310/0415/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/03/202613th33/10%0%0.00
27/03/20263rd33/10%75%+0.75
01/04/202610th14/126%10%-0.16
10/04/202612th22/10%0%0.00
15/06/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
21/06/20265th13/891%20%-0.71
15/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
30/07/20265th7/282%20%-0.62
21/08/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30