2

Full Of Malice

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 80

Thistledown · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f Slo 11810/08C6C6 @ Thistledown 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f110y 11831/08C6projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-08-10Thistledown?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +92.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
31/08/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60