Gray Tormentor
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 56
Thistledown · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Thistledown | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 11/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |