1
Right On The Munny
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 68
Thistledown · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-13 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/05/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 28/05/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |