6

Bold Popper

3yo Filly · 8-7

Thistledown · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 02/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1192/07C6C6 @ Thistledown 13/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y 11913/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Thistledown?9th9th0
2026-07-02Thistledown?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%

Delivery trend +47.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20267th10/147%0%-0.47
13/08/20269th25/10%0%0.00