1
Cleveland Power
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 62
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/11/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |