7
Drill's Boy
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 44
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength11%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 17/02/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |