2
Into Gold
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 68
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 04/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |