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3

Bend My Ear

3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 83

Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/5

Win Prob

77%

Place Prob

63%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Turfway Park 17/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f 12017/01C9C8 @ Turfway Park 01/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 85 · 6f 118 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 85 par1/03C8OR 85C5 @ Thistledown 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 89 · 5f110y 115 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 89 par8/08C5OR 89C5 @ Thistledown 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 115 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 87 par27/08C5OR 87projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-08-08Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-03-01Turfway Park?2nd5th−3
2026-01-17Turfway Park?1st5th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/011/038/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -11.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
01/03/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20
08/08/20263rd3/184%60%-0.24
27/08/20262nd11/1094%80%-0.14