6
Suzie Q's Sister
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 70
Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 12/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |