7

Bold Sally

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 28

Thistledown · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 39 · 5f110y Fas 119 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 39 par2/07C6OR 39C6 @ Thistledown 23/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 36 · 6f 119 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 36 par23/07C6OR 36C6 @ Thistledown 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 29 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 29 par13/08C6OR 29projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-07-23Thistledown?8th8th0
2026-07-02Thistledown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0723/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +38.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20263rd10/382%50%-0.32
23/07/20268th12/137%13%-0.24
13/08/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45