2
Raven's Honor
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 27
Thistledown · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |