4
Judy's Comet
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 75
Thistledown · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |