7

All Time Legend

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 58

Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y

#2

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seventh of 9 in minor event (5/1) at this course (5f, good) 77 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 16/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 13216/05C8C8 @ Vaal 02/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1322/07C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Vaal?7th7th0
2026-05-16Turffontein?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/052/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -17.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/202612th12/137%8%-0.29
02/07/20267th11/271%25%-0.46