4
Arumugam's Dream
3yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 48
Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Kenilworth | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 9% | +0.04 |
| 18/03/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 19/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |