1
Beach Walker
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 15
Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Vaal | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 04/12/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 31% | +0.26 |
| 24/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |