8

Chancellor

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 73

Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y

#1

Rank

Odds

1/5

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fifth of 17 in maiden (10/1) at Turffontein (5.8f, good) 82 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 27/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 12627/06C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Turffontein?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20265th17/255%75%+0.20