6
Count Of Capri
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 46
Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength30%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +2.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | -3th | +7 |
| 2026-01-17 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +34.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |