2
God's Country
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 46
Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength38%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 09/07/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |