2
Ferahan As
5yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Mehun Sur Yevre - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#12
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 1 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 2 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 06/12/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/01/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 04/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |