6
Lovebird
5yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Mehun Sur Yevre - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.07 |
| 17/11/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 03/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |