2

Mademoiselle Delf

4yo Filly · 9-8

Vincennes · Prix De Drancy - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 1.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Toulouse 03/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m3f122y Std 03/01C?6 @ Toulouse 09/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 09/016C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1341/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-01-17Agen51
2026-01-09Toulouse61st3rd2
2026-01-03Toulouse?1st1st0
2025-12-16Bordeaux Le Bouscat?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/019/011/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/01/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
09/01/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
01/09/20262nd9/153%91%+0.38