6

Maggiotta
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix De Drancy - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Vincennes | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-26 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +6.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 27/08/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 05/01/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 19/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 26/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/02/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |