6

Maggiotta

4yo Filly · 9-8

Vincennes · Prix De Drancy - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 20/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12520/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 125C0 @ Enghien 26/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 12526/10C?4 @ Vincennes 05/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 132C0 @ Vincennes 19/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13219/01C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 26/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 04 @ Vincennes 16/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13216/0244 @ Vincennes 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 132C0 @ Vincennes 12/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 13212/05C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-12Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-04-30Vincennes44th4th0
2026-02-16Vincennes46th6th0
2026-02-06Vincennes3+1
2026-01-26Bordeaux Le Bouscat?8th8th0
2026-01-19Vincennes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/085/0116/0212/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%

Delivery trend +6.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20254th11/142%57%+0.15
27/08/20255th4/179%56%-0.23
26/10/20255th14/126%64%+0.37
05/01/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
19/01/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
26/01/20268th40/10%0%0.00
16/02/20266th80/10%58%+0.58
30/04/20264th40/10%73%+0.73
12/05/20266th28/10%38%+0.38