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4yo Filly · 9-8

Vincennes · Prix De Drancy - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 30/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12830/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 128C0 @ Vincennes 17/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 12317/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1284 @ Vincennes 05/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 1285/014C0 @ Vincennes 19/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1344 @ Vincennes 03/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 1343/0444 @ Enghien 16/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 134C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 13427/06C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?0
2026-08-10Enghien?0
2026-07-22Enghien?0
2026-06-27Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-06-19Vincennes40
2026-05-12Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/093/123/0427/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength64%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20255th28/10%71%+0.71
17/10/20254th66/10%67%+0.67
17/11/20259th50/10%33%+0.33
03/12/20258th40/10%42%+0.42
05/01/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
19/01/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
03/04/20265th50/10%56%+0.56
16/04/20264th33/10%70%+0.70
27/06/20263rd25/10%82%+0.82