3
Malicia
4yo Filly · 9-2
Vincennes · Prix De Drancy - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength2%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-29 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-03 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 5 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |