10

Maya D'aubriere
4yo Filly · 8-13
Vincennes · Prix De Drancy - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#11
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Saint-Malo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 14/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |