8
Melinda Du Loisir
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix De Drancy - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-02-12 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -47.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 13/05/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 26/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |