5

Musique Nay

4yo Filly · 9-6

Vincennes · Prix De Drancy - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#9

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 06/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1256/06C?C0 @ Vincennes 24/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 125C0 @ Vincennes 02/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1252/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 125C0 @ Vincennes 25/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 13225/02C?4 @ Vincennes 03/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 132C0 @ Vincennes 12/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 13212/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13426/08C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?7th7th0
2026-05-12Vincennes?4th4th0
2026-04-03Vincennes44th4th0
2026-02-25Vincennes?9th9th0
2025-10-17Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-09-02Vincennes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0617/1012/0526/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20252nd50/10%91%+0.91
24/06/20252nd4/179%89%+0.10
02/09/20253rd6/168%78%+0.09
17/10/20258th14/126%22%-0.04
25/02/20269th80/10%27%+0.27
03/04/20264th28/10%67%+0.67
12/05/20264th14/126%63%+0.36
26/08/20267th50/10%45%+0.45