11
Many Dreams
4yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Narbonne - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |