2

Mazar De Vandel
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Narbonne - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#10
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 5 | −2 | ||
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 94% | +0.68 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |