2

Mazar De Vandel

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Narbonne - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#10

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 23/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 023/08C?C0 @ Lisieux 24/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 12/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/10C?C0 @ Argentan 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 022/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 23/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 023/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 24/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 024/08C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-07-07Cabourg?6th6th0
2026-06-23Enghien?1st1st0
2026-05-29Vincennes?4th4th0
2026-05-14Nantes52
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/082/1123/0624/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20259th50/10%20%+0.20
24/09/20252nd14/126%94%+0.68
12/10/20252nd7/282%91%+0.09
02/11/20257th5/174%50%-0.24
22/04/20267th22/10%45%+0.45
29/05/20264th28/10%63%+0.63
23/06/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
07/07/20266th16/116%64%+0.48
24/08/20266th28/10%38%+0.38