12
Mighty Dream
4yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Narbonne - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#7
Rank
Odds
39/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 25/06/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/10/2025 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 12/11/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.40 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |