4
Modern Style
4yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Narbonne - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 03/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |