9
Lacienda Flash
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Corbeil - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#4
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.28 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.21 |
| 07/09/2026 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |