8

Laissez Faire

5yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Corbeil - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 09/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 09/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 10/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 010/02C?C0 @ Caen 02/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 04 @ Vincennes 04/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04/044C0 @ La Capelle 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Laval 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 03/06C?C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 04 @ Cabourg 28/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 028/084projClass-projected finish: 9th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Cabourg48th8th0
2026-06-27Enghien?4th4th0
2026-06-03Laval?6th6th0
2026-05-03La Capelle?2nd2nd0
2026-04-04Vincennes45th5th0
2026-03-02Caen?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/092/033/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20251st33/10%100%+1.00
14/10/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
10/02/20268th40/10%42%+0.42
02/03/20263rd6/168%85%+0.16
04/04/20265th2/189%56%-0.34
03/05/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12
03/06/20266th11/142%62%+0.19
27/06/20264th12/137%79%+0.42
28/08/20268th66/10%42%+0.42