1
Lolita Turgot
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Corbeil - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#13
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | 2 | +2 | ||
| 2026-05-21 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/05/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 02/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 16/06/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 05/01/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/05/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 21/05/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 10/09/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |