7
Luciole Du Vertain
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Corbeil - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#15
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 17/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 14/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |