15

Lune Lumalo
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Corbeil - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 22/07/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |