15

Lune Lumalo

5yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Corbeil - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lyon La Soie 29/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 029/015C0 @ Reims 23/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 05 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/0555 @ Le Mans 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Amiens 08/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 08/06C?C0 @ Enghien 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05 @ Cabourg 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 03/075C0 @ Enghien 22/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 01/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-07-22Enghien?10th10th0
2026-07-03Cabourg55th6th1
2026-06-23Enghien?2nd2nd0
2026-06-08Amiens?6th6th0
2026-05-21Le Mans55th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0121/053/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
23/04/20264th33/10%73%+0.73
02/05/20266th14/126%55%+0.28
21/05/20265th6/168%60%-0.08
08/06/20266th28/10%62%+0.62
23/06/20262nd7/163%91%+0.28
03/07/20265th12/137%73%+0.36
22/07/202610th20/10%31%+0.31
01/08/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36