2

Lyre D'erable

5yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Corbeil - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#12

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Graignes 20/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 020/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 01/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Vincennes 06/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 06/0244 @ Vincennes 16/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 24/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 024/03C?5 @ Le Mans 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 22/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 022/07C?C0 @ Enghien 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04 @ Vincennes 29/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 029/084projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Vincennes410th10th0
2026-08-10Enghien?2nd2nd0
2026-07-22Enghien?7th7th0
2026-05-21Le Mans51st2nd1
2026-04-21Vincennes?0
2026-03-24Maure De Bretagne?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1116/0222/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/20257th16/116%40%+0.24
01/12/20252nd5/174%89%+0.15
06/02/20264th4/179%80%+0.01
16/02/20265th7/282%60%-0.22
24/03/20265th9/488%69%-0.19
21/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
22/07/20267th16/116%54%+0.38
10/08/20262nd14/126%92%+0.65
29/08/202610th9/276%25%-0.51