2

Lyre D'erable
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Corbeil - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#12
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-24 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 01/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 24/03/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 69% | -0.19 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 29/08/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |