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4

Irish Nice Elge

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Bernard Le Quellec - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 027/02C?3 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 16/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 21/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 021/0144 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 07/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 04 @ Saint Galmier 16/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 016/024C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04 @ Vincennes 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 019/064C0 @ Enghien 12/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 03 @ Vincennes 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 029/083projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Vincennes33rd3rd0
2026-08-12Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-06-19Vincennes41st2nd−1
2026-03-08Cagnes-sur-Mer?10th10th0
2026-02-16Saint Galmier49th10th−1
2026-02-07Cagnes-sur-Mer43rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/027/0219/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20256th50/10%58%+0.58
16/01/20266th80/10%64%+0.64
21/01/20268th8/158%42%-0.16
07/02/20263rd40/10%85%+0.85
16/02/20269th15/261%27%-0.33
08/03/202610th100/10%36%+0.36
19/06/20261st28/10%100%+1.00
12/08/20263rd33/10%83%+0.83
29/08/20263rd20/10%83%+0.83