10

Jason

7yo Horse · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Bernard Le Quellec - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 23/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 023/02C?C0 @ Vincennes 05/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 07/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 016/07C?C0 @ Caen 19/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 30/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/10C?C0 @ La Gacilly 09/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 0C0 @ Laval 19/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 019/08C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Laval?10th10th0
2026-08-09La Gacilly?8th8th0
2025-10-30Vincennes?5th5th0
2025-10-19Caen?3rd3rd0
2025-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel?5th5th0
2025-06-07Vincennes?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/027/0630/1019/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/02/20256th33/10%58%+0.58
05/04/20256th9/488%64%-0.24
12/04/20259th11/486%20%-0.66
07/06/20257th40/10%40%+0.40
16/07/20255th10/147%73%+0.26
19/10/20253rd14/126%83%+0.57
30/10/20255th9/488%50%-0.38
09/08/20268th10/147%53%+0.06
19/08/202610th50/10%36%+0.36