11

Kelle Beaute

6yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Bernard Le Quellec - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#9

Rank

Odds

70/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 02/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 06/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 01/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 01/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 08/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 22/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/02C?C0 @ Vire 18/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Angers 01/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 01/04C?3 @ Vincennes 11/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03 @ Vincennes 15/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 015/053projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-15Vincennes311th11th0
2026-05-02Vincennes30
2026-04-11Vincennes33rd3rd0
2026-04-01Angers?4th4th0
2026-03-18Vire?5th5th0
2026-02-22Vincennes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/118/021/0415/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20257th11/142%63%+0.20
06/12/20255th80/10%67%+0.67
01/01/20264th25/10%79%+0.79
08/02/20262nd18/15%91%+0.86
22/02/20264th22/10%80%+0.80
18/03/20265th9/153%73%+0.21
01/04/20264th7/163%75%+0.12
11/04/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41
15/05/202611th17/255%9%-0.46