9
Kemia Du Chene
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Bernard Le Quellec - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength68%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 1 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-29 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 1 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength86%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 25/01/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 28/02/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |