7
Key Of Love
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Bernard Le Quellec - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/5
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength30%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 1 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 31/12/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 87% | +0.04 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.01 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |