5
Kiss Me Honey
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Bernard Le Quellec - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength71%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 1 | +2 | ||
| 2026-07-27 | Chatelaillon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 1 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-04-29 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength87%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 03/02/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |