9

Falto Des Landiers

11yo Gelding · 8-13

Vincennes · Prix Gaston Roussel - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#14

Rank

Odds

45/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Ecommoy 05/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f147y Hvy 05/04C?3 @ Vincennes 10/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 14322/04C?3 @ Caen 09/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Vincennes 26/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 12526/05C?C0 @ Agon-Coutainville 05/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 2m1f5y Std 01 @ Cabourg 17/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 141 · HIGHER CLASS17/0713 @ Enghien 25/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 143 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Craon 07/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 1307/09C?projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Craon?12th12th0
2026-07-25Enghien38th7th+1
2026-07-17Cabourg110th6th+3
2026-07-05Agon-Coutainville?7th7th0
2026-05-26Vincennes?7th7th0
2026-05-09Caen311th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/049/0517/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/202611th150/10%41%+0.41
10/04/20268th40/10%36%+0.36
22/04/20267th50/10%57%+0.57
09/05/202611th80/10%29%+0.29
26/05/20267th33/10%57%+0.57
05/07/20267th100/10%65%+0.65
17/07/202610th100/10%31%+0.31
25/07/20268th80/10%50%+0.50
07/09/202612th66/10%31%+0.31