9

Falto Des Landiers
11yo Gelding · 8-13
Vincennes · Prix Gaston Roussel - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#14
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength46%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 1 | 10th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-07-05 | Agon-Coutainville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 10/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 09/05/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 17/07/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/09/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |