10
Haida Sautonne
9yo Mare · 8-11
Vincennes · Prix Gaston Roussel - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength44%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 1 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 08/04/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |